NFL Week 11 Tips: Seahawks ready to exact revenge on the Rams after September loss

By Tom Collins

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16 November 2023

We cashed in a nice treble last week as the Steelers covered the spread against the Packers, while Brandon Aiyuk and Amon-Ra St Brown found the endzone for their respective teams.

Betting multiples is all about strategy, repeated success and long-term profits, so that aforementioned winning wager is firmly in the rear-view window now. Can we do it two weeks in a row? If so, we need the selections listed below to do the business.

Chicago Bears (+9) @ Detroit Lions (-9)

Kick-off: 6pm Sunday BST

With six wins from their last seven games, the Detroit Lions can be categorised as one of the hottest teams in the National Football League right now. Although their top-10 defence is rather surprising, their success on offence is anything but as precision passer Jared Goff has several dynamic receivers and two bona fide workhorse running backs at his mercy. Points have always been considered a formality.

After a rewarding trip to LA to face the Chargers, Detroit now heads back home to Ford Field to face languishing divisional rivals, the Chicago Bears. Chicago has won just three of their 10 games so far this season, which is largely due to their inability to move the ball on offence. They have also been outscored 142-97 in road games.

Chicago often gives up short fields to their opposition and, although Detroit has earned their headlines from passing plays in 2023, they could have substantial success on the ground this week. Step forward former Bear David Montgomery, who has a knack of finding the endzone with seven touchdowns in six games this season. He will be given goalline carries against his former team to add to that tally.

Prediction: David Montgomery anytime touchdown @ 11/10

New York Giants (+10) @ Washington Commanders (-10)

Kick-off: 6pm Sunday BST

The New York Giants slugged out a 14-7 win over the Washington Commanders earlier this season despite not scoring a single point in the second half. There were 18 punts in the game, two missed field goals, and two turnovers. It really wasn’t one for the neutral.

Defence should be on top once again in their rematch, but the Commanders undoubtedly have the upper hand this time with homefield advantage and rookie Tommy DeVito as the opposing quarterback rather than the experienced Tyrod Taylor. 

Ron Rivera’s side seemed a little frustrated that they couldn’t get the run game going when they faced the Giants back in September. Brian Robinson only carried the ball eight times for 23 yards and a touchdown, while last year he managed 96 and 89 yards against the Giants in back-to-back games. 

Expect them to use Robinson early and often and, given he has the ninth-most redzone touches out of all running backs in the league to go with four touchdowns in his last five games, he looks a good bet to find the endzone.

Prediction: Brian Robinson anytime touchdown @ 20/21

Seattle Seahawks (-1) @ Los Angeles Rams (+1)

Kick-off: 9.25pm Sunday BST

Pete Carroll’s Seattle Seahawks were completely torn apart by the LA Rams in week one. The game finished 30-13 to the road team, a consequence of a 23-0 shutout in the second half. LA's rookie receiver Puka Nacua recorded 10 catches for 119 yards in his first professional game, while quarterback Matt Stafford was barely pressured by the Hawks’ pass rush. All in all, it was a very one-sided affair.

So why do the traders have the Seahawks as narrow favourites to exact their revenge this week? Well, there are several different factors that suggest this could be a different type of game. The least obvious is that Stafford could be rusty as he returns from a thumb injury that kept him out for the last month. During that span, the Rams went 0-3 and have since had a bye.

While the Rams have failed to deliver in Stafford’s absence, the Seahawks have rallied well after a poor start by winning six of their eight subsequent games. That streak includes home wins against the Browns and Commanders as well as an important road win in Detroit. They have also started to introduce rookies Zach Charbonnet and Jaxon Smith-Njigba on a greater scale over the last month, which has had a positive impact on their results.

But the main changes for Seattle since their season opener are on defence. Devon Witherspoon and Jamal Adams, two key players in the secondary, didn’t play in that game but will be lurking this time around, while the recent additions of Frank Clark and Leonard Williams has increased the likelihood of sacks and stopping runs for short gains. With a solid defensive showing, Seattle can continue their march.

Prediction: Seahawks to win @ 10/11

NFL Week 11 Tips

Bears @ Lions: David Montgomery anytime touchdown @ 11/10
Giants @ Commanders: Brian Robinson anytime touchdown @ 20/21
Seahawks @ Rams: Seahawks to win @ 10/11

Accumulator pays: 6.5/1

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