What has happened to the Premier League outright market so far this season?

We are eight games into the Premier League season and now that a few of the big boys have played each other, the table is starting to take shape. 

As we enter our second international break of the season, it seems like a good time to look at how the outright market has moved, especially in the wake of Arsenal beating Manchester City yesterday.

On the opening day of the Premier League season, Manchester City were the favourites at 1.86. An impressive run of six wins from the first six games saw them shorten to 1.42, before back-to-back defeats to Wolves and more importantly Arsenal saw them drift to 1.79. It is no coincidence that City losing two league games in a row for the first time since December 2018, has come while Rodri has been suspended. If Rodri was to pick up a long-term injury it would be interesting to see how the markets would react.

Thanks to their first league win over City since December 2015, Arsenal have moved into the second favourite position. You can find them now at 5.2, which is their shortest odds so far this season. On the opening day they were 6.2, but following the draw in the North London Derby a fortnight ago they went out to 13. Yesterday’s result alone saw them move from 7.6 to 5.2.

Tottenham Hotspur enter this international break at the top of the Premier League table. Few could have seen that at the start of the season but the Ange Postecoglou revolution has taken the league by storm. On the opening day, you could have backed Spurs at 50, now they’re as short as 13.5.

On the other hand, Manchester United and Chelsea have seen their odds lengthen. United were at 13 on the opening day while Chelsea were on 21, you can now back them at 90 and 100 respectively.