Premier League Betting Tips: Look to the underdogs in midweek

By James Cantrill

Premier League Odds

2 April 2024

We have a bumper round of midweek Premier League fixtures to enjoy and SBK have you covered for top flight tips with selections for half of this week's games.

West Ham vs Tottenham

Kick-off: 20:15 Tuesday, TNT Sports 1

Lucas Paqueta is expected to start in the number 10 role as West Ham host Tottenham on Tuesday. The Brazilian suffered his first Hammers defeat as a starter in seven Premier League games on Saturday despite his side leading 3-1 at St James’ Park. That sort of capitulation has done no favours for David Moyes, who despite his success at the London Stadium is not unanimously popular. Nevertheless, the Scottish supremo knows how to set his stall out against the sides above them in the table. This season, they have picked up results in four of nine such games including in the reverse fixture with Tottenham.

I expect the hosts to bloody the nose of Spurs at the very least and with Paqueta expected to start in an advanced role his price to net appeals. Paqueta has started five games in centre attacking midfield, scoring once and setting up a further two goals. 

Prediction: Lucas Paqueta Anytime Goalscorer @ 3.75

Brentford vs Brighton

Kick-off: 19:30 Wednesday, TNT Sports 3

Brentford showed serious grit to rally after Mason Mount’s 96th minute goal that put Manchester United ahead on Saturday. Kristoffer Ajer scored three minutes later to earn the Bee’s their first point of the month. Thomas Frank’s side have however been slipping down the table for some time now, only winning one of their last 10 and their leaky backline is to blame. 

Over that period, Burnley, Arsenal, Chelsea, West Ham, Liverpool, Man City and Tottenham have scored at least two goals against the Bees. At odds against, backing Brighton to do the same appeals here.

Prediction: Brighton Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.20

Arsenal vs Luton

Kick-off: 19:30 Wednesday, TNT Sports 2

Luton are odds on not to score at the Emirates. They have run the big boys close in all games at Kenilworth Road and netted at Tottenham, Anfield, St James’ Park (4) and Villa Park this term. Considering this, both teams to score may be worth a punt at odds against but if you want something a little chunkier, Tahith Chong’s price to score appeals.

Despite starting the season as a central midfielder, the versatile player is being utilised higher and higher up the pitch. Chong has netted three times in his last five appearances starting in attacking midfield and most recently on the left. His pace could catch Arsenal out on Wednesday. 

Prediction: Tahith Chong Anytime Goalscorer @ 9.00

Liverpool vs Sheffield United

Kick-off: 19:30 Thursday, TNT Sports 2

Ben Brereton Diaz has been a revelation since swapping Spain for South Yorkshire in January. The Chilean attacker netted his third and fourth goal for the Blades against Fulham at the weekend in only his fifth league start. Chris Wilder has moved Diaz into a front two for his last two starts and this combined with his form in front of goal is why his price appeals. 

Granted, the price is without doubt inflated by the opposition and location of the game but when you consider Joe Gomez is 10.00 to net - a man without a professional goal - Diaz’s at 7.00 has to be worth a punt.

Prediction: Ben Brereton Diaz Anytime Goalscorer @ 7.00

Chelsea vs Manchester United

Kick-off: 20:15 Thursday, TNT Sports 1

I expect chaos at Stamford Bridge as Chelsea host Manchester United, mainly because it pits two sides against one another that are pretty... chaotic. They have plenty in common, big budgets, good players and a lack of cohesion which should make for a ding-dong affair in London on Thursday evening. 

Chelsea have only kept one clean sheet in their last 11 and only failed to score in one game over that period which was the League Cup final. The Red Devils have only kept three clean sheets this calendar year and in just 12 games featured in a 2-2, a 4-2 and two 4-3’s. 

Prediction: BTTS in First & Second Half @ 7.00

Recommended Bets

Back Lucas Paqueta Anytime Goalscorer (West Ham vs Spurs) @ 3.75
Back Brighton Over 1.5 Goals (Brentford vs Brighton) @ 2.20
Back Tahith Chong Anytime Goalscorer (Arsenal vs Luton Town) @ 9.00
Back Ben Brereton Diaz Anytime Goalscorer (Liverpool vs Sheffield United) @ 7.00
Back BTTS in First & Second Half (Chelsea vs Man Utd) @ 7.00

Premier League Odds

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