Premier League Betting Tips: Andy Schooler has selections for five of this weekend's matches

After landing a couple of winners last week, Andy Schooler is back to preview this weekend’s Premier League action, with focus on the four TV games…

West Ham v Chelsea

Saturday, 12:30, TNT Sports

I still can’t trust Chelsea at short prices – not for the first time this season they won last weekend despite losing the expected-goals count, but that won’t keep happening.

West Ham will be very much up for this derby and it’s one they have a strong record in.

Since Chelsea’s last title winners won here in 2017 – the wonderful side of Cesc Fabregas, Diego Costa and Eden Hazard – the Blues have won just once in seven league visits to the London Stadium and that victory came in the ‘COVID season’ which saw more away wins than home victories. Three of the last five have been lost, including a 3-1 defeat last season.

West Ham may still be bedding in a host of new signings but the fight has been there with a late equaliser earning a point at Fulham last weekend.

The Hammers can get something from this game.

Prediction: West Ham/Draw double chance @ 1.74

Leicester v Everton

Saturday, 15:00

Everton are bang in trouble – yet again – but if the mentality stays right, there are positives to be taken into this contest.

Yes, they’ve lost from 2-0 in their last two games, the home defeat to Bournemouth professional incompetence, but they had more than enough chances in both matches to have won with something to spare.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin was responsible for some of the key misses – two big ones at Villa Park last week – but he’s also scored in both matches and is certainly getting into good positions and receiving the right service.

If Everton continue in that vein going forward, they should score goals, albeit putting chances away has become something of a long-term problem.

Leicester are yet to keep a clean sheet and have conceded multiple goals in three of their four games, while Everton have scored 2+ on four of their last five visits to the King Power Stadium.

Calvert-Lewin won’t be for everyone, but I’m prepared to back him to score for a third match running at 2.96.

Prediction: Dominic Calvert-Lewin anytime scorer @ 2.96

Crystal Palace v Manchester United

Saturday, 17:30, Sky Sports

Another big club with a reputation higher than its current team deserves is Manchester United.

They’ve won two and lost two so far, although both Fulham and Southampton had good chances in those Red Devils’ victories.

With the red-hot Eberechi Eze firing, Palace will fancy their chances of backing up their 4-0 win in this fixture back in May.

They are a tempting price of 2.88 but for something bigger, consider Tyrick Mitchell for an assist.

The left wing-back has sent over 21 crosses in four games so far, has Jean-Philippe Mateta (15 goals in 17 games under Oliver Glasner) as a target, and also operates close to Eze, who is third in the league for shots taken.

Mitchell assisted in last week’s draw with Leicester and looks big at 7.8 for another against a backline which still doesn’t convince.

Prediction: Tyrick Mitchell anytime assist @ 7.8

Brighton v Nottingham Forest

Sunday, 14:00, Sky Sports

Maybe the chance to back Forest has been and gone after their 1-0 win at Anfield last weekend but I feel there’s still some juice in their price at 4.8 in this game.

They’ve been very solid defensively with only Manchester City and Liverpool having better expected-goals figures after four matchdays.

While they’ve only netted four goals, only five teams have had more shots so they are offering plenty going forward too.

Brighton dominated Ipswich for much of their game last week, had plenty of shots but couldn’t make the breakthrough. They also gave up a couple of good chances on the break, something Forest will loo to replicate – and they do it better than the Tractor Boys.

Take a punt on Forest’s flying start to continue.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest to win @ 4.8

Manchester City v Arsenal

Sunday, 16:30, Sky Sports

Arsenal famously won 14 of 16 in the run-in last season but still lost out on the title to Manchester City, who won their last nine.

Pep Guardiola’s side know how to get things down in the latter stages of a season but if they are ever to be considered vulnerable it is in early season.

Part of that is down to so many of their players often having summer commitments and therefore needing to be phased in gradually but regardless of the reasons, the numbers show City have lost a Premier League game before the end of September in four of the last five campaigns.

With the excellent Gabriel and William Saliba in the middle, Arsenal have been very solid defensively, conceding only three goals in their last 11 road trips, winning 10 of them, and they stopped City from scoring in both meetings last season.

Yes, Martin Odegaard is a big loss in midfield but City have Kevin de Bruyne as an injury doubt too.

City were troubled by Brentford having a go at them last week and if Arsenal try a repeat – which they should – then they are capable of getting something from the game.

Prediction: Arsenal/Draw double chance @ 2.04

Recommended Bets

West Ham/Draw double chance v Chelsea @ 1.74
Dominic Calvert-Lewin anytime scorer in Leicester v Everton @ 2.96
Tyrick Mitchell anytime assist in Palace v Man Utd @ 7.8
Nottingham Forest to beat Brighton @ 4.8
Arsenal/Draw double chance v Man City @ 2.04