Premier League Betting Tips: Back Johnson to be on the scoresheet again

Andy Schooler landed three winners from five bets during the international break. Now he’s back focusing on this weekend’s Premier League action.

Tottenham v West Ham

Saturday, 12:30, TNT Sports

Apologies for sounding like a stuck record but I’m going to back Brennan Johnson in the anytime scorer market again.

The Welshman has rewarded our faith in each of the last two weeks. In fact, he’s now scored in his last seven games for club and country.

Spurs usually score multiple goals at home – they’ve done that in 12 of their last 15 Premier League games in N17. Arsenal, Man City and Wolves are the teams to have denied them in that period.

West Ham don’t look great defensively. Despite beating Ipswich 4-1 last time out, they conceded some good chances and they remain a team in transition under new boss Julen Lopetegui.

Yes, Spurs have to recover from their chastening second-half collapse at Brighton but they should still carry a threat in attack and form-man Johnson is the one to follow.

Prediction: Brennan Johnson anytime scorer @ 2.74

Bournemouth v Arsenal

Saturday, 17:30, Sky Sports

I could make an argument for Bournemouth here – strong xG etc – but the fact is they lost 10 of 12 against the top six last season and it’s already two from two on the same front this term.

The Cherries failed to score against Liverpool or Chelsea and with Arsenal having conceded only four goals in their last 11 away games, backing the Gunners to win to nil at 3.05 looks very tempting.

The same can be said about Bukayo Saka in the anytime assist market – as long as he’s fit after getting injured with England. He’s a 3.7 shot in it.

Saka has already had seven assists this season, landing this bet in six of Arsenal’s seven Premier League games.

Both of those bets look worthy of consideration but I’m going to keep things simple and just back the visitors for victory.

A price of 1.72 looks to have value attached.

Prediction: Arsenal to win @ 1.72

Wolves v Manchester City

Sunday, 14:00, Sky Sports

The angle I like here involves Wolves shots – they are 1.94 to hit over 7.5 of them.

Gary O’Neil’s men may have only one point so far but I feel they’ve played better than that statistic suggests and they’ve certainly had a tough start having already faced Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea and Villa.

They’ve managed to clear the 7.5 shots line in all bar one of their games, missing out by a single shot against Liverpool.

City have conceded over 7.5 shots in four of their last five games and over 9.5 in all three away matches so far this season.

Much has been made of the loss of Rodri from their midfield and it’s notable that in the eight league games he’s missed since the start of last season, City have conceded at least eight shots in six of them.

Prediction: Wolves over 7.5 shots @ 1.94

Liverpool v Chelsea

Sunday, 16:30, Sky Sports

I’ve long been wary of Chelsea – every time you think they may be getting onto something, they seem to slip up again.

That was the case last time out when they were held 1-1 at home by Nottingham Forest in a game which could have gone either way, both keepers making some excellent stops.

The brave may want to side with them here at 5.1. Liverpool lead the league but their start has been very soft and we seem sure to find out more about them in this game and the ones that follow.

Chelsea and the draw can be baked at 2.24 in the double-chance market – but it’s somewhat off-putting that the visitors lose two defenders through suspension here, Wesley Fofana and Marc Cucurella having already collected five yellow cards each.

That’s a nod to the angle I want to pursue.

Chelsea were the league’s most-carded team last season and they are already back at the bottom of the fair-play table this time around.

Renato Veiga, the 21-year-old likely to replace Cucurella at left-back and face Mo Salah, has been carded in two of five starts this season, while last term he had eight cards in 22 Swiss League starts.

However, he’s the anytime card market leader so instead I’ll turn to Enzo Fernandez.

The captain must lead from the front in a game like this and he’ll operate in an area which Chelsea could find hard to control with Ryan Gravenberch having shone for the Reds so far.

Fernandez was carded in both games against Liverpool last season and may also be a little jaded after international duty in South America a few days ago.

Prediction: Enzo Fernandez to be carded @ 2.98

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace

Monday, 20:00, Sky Sports

There’s been a lot to like about Forest so far this season.

They’ve won at Anfield and almost repeated the trick at Stamford Bridge before the international break.

The success has been built on defensive solidity – only Liverpool have conceded fewer goals in the opening seven games – and now they face a Palace team struggling to score. Only Southampton have been less potent so far.

As a result, Palace remain winless with the pressure mounting on Oliver Glasner, who hasn’t been able to make best use of summer signing Eddie Nketiah, while the loss of Joachim Andersen from the backline is still being felt with Jefferson Lerma looking a square peg in a round hole.

Chris Wood’s goals helped Forest out of a hole during the second half of last season and he’s already got four in 2024/25. He can help the hosts win this.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest to win @ 2.46

Recommended Bets

Brennan Johnson anytime scorer in Spurs v West Ham @ 2.74
Arsenal to beat Bournemouth @ 1.72
Wolves over 7.5 shots v Man City @ 1.94
Enzo Fernandez to be carded in Liverpool v Chelsea @ 2.98
Nottingham Forest to beat Crystal Palace @ 2.46