European Qualifiers Tipsheet: Wales, Scotland and Denmark all in action

By Scott Thornton

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16 November 2023

There is plenty of international action taking place over the weekend, I have selections from four games for you including Scotland and Wales.

Denmark vs Slovenia

Friday 19:45, Viaplay Sports Extra

Denmark come into this one needing a win to knock Slovenia off the top spot in Group H. The Danes pilled on the pressure in the last head-to-head but they had to settle for a 1-1 draw. They racked up a total of 10 corners in that match and the corners angle looks a good bet here.

Kasper Hjulmand’s side have played four competitive home matches in 2023 and are averaging 10.25 corners in those games. Their opponents are averaging just 1.25 over that period. Denmark had 8 eight more corners than Slovenia when they met in June so the -3.5 corners handicap looks a solid bet.

Tip: Denmark -3.5 corners at 2.10

Armenia vs Wales

Saturday 14:00, Viaplay Sports 1

Wales must win both of their remaining group games to secure qualification. They were beaten 4-2 by Armenia in Cardiff but Rob Page’s side have improved drastically since then. They’ve recorded three consecutive victories and the recent win over Croatia showcased what they can do.

Armenia are enduring a run of three straight defeats. They have lost against North Macedonia and Latvia in their most recent matches so I’m backing the visitors to get the job done here. Since beating Wales, Armenia have conceded 0.8 more goals per game than they have scored.

Tip: Wales to win at 1.98

Sweden vs Estonia

Sunday 17:00, Viaplay Sports 2

Sweden are looking to exorcise their demons here after another disappointing qualifying campaign. Next summer’s tournament is beyond their reach but I’m expecting them to come out all guns blazing here. They beat Estonia 5-0 in their earlier group meeting.

Jan Andersson’s side have shown a keen eye for goal in their recent home matches. Their matches in Sweden in 2023 are averaging 3.71 goals per game. They are facing an Estonian side that are conceding an average of three goals per game throughout qualifying, the 5th most of the 53 sides involved. Only slightly fewer than the likes of San Marino. Over 3.5 goals in this match looks a solid bet at slightly longer odds.

Tip: Over 3.5 goals in the match @ 2.54

Scotland vs Norway

Sunday 19:45, Viaplay Sports 1

Scotland’s perfect record in qualifying came to an end in Spain. The Scots thought they had taken the lead when Scott McTominay found the net from an improbable angle only for VAR to rule the goal out. They went on to lose the game but they will want to keep the pressure on Spain in the race for 1st place.

Steve Clarke’s side won the reverse fixture 2-1. They have been fantastic at Hampden Park. Scotland have won their last six competitive matches with the back of the Tartan army. Over that period they are averaging 2.33 goals per game and conceding just 0.17. Five of those side wins have been by a margin of two goals or more so the price on a home win is very appealing.

Tip: Scotland to win at 1.99

Recommended Bets

Back Denmark -3.5 corner handicap v Slovenia @ 2.10
Back Wales to beat Armenia @ 1.98
Back over 3.5 goals in Sweden v Estonia @ 2.54
Back Scotland to beat Norway @ 1.99

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